Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $9,192$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(516 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(46.3\) days)
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $177$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(39.4 \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(71.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{158.3}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 61.6)}}\) (asimptote \(158.3\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,420$ on 2020-08-27
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $83,898$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(1.14 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(55.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{89,712.4}{1 + 10^{-0.017 (t - 97.2)}}\) (asimptote \(89,712.4\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,820$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(1.65 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(77.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,674.2}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 55.2)}}\) (asimptote \(5,674.2\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $78,078$ on 2020-08-27
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $10,542$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(4.12 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.002t}\) (doubling rate \(121.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,992.0}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 35.1)}}\) (asimptote \(8,992.0\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $264$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(121 \times 10^{0.002t}\) (doubling rate \(121.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{248.4}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 31.1)}}\) (asimptote \(248.4\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $930$ on 2020-08-27
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,019$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(2.57 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(94.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,400.8}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 50.9)}}\) (asimptote \(7,400.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $335$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(144 \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(104.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{327.9}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 36.2)}}\) (asimptote \(327.9\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $484$ on 2020-08-27
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $17,052$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(4.72 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(90.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{14,138.5}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 49.8)}}\) (asimptote \(14,138.5\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $624$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(279 \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(115.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{605.0}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 34.5)}}\) (asimptote \(605.0\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,293$ on 2020-08-27
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,087$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(979 \times 10^{0.002t}\) (doubling rate \(145.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,853.0}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 29.8)}}\) (asimptote \(1,853.0\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(4.51 \times 10^{-16} \times 10^{0.100t}\) (doubling rate \(3.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.0}{1 + 10^{-0.073 (t - 22.3)}}\) (asimptote \(10.0\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $113$ on 2020-08-27
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $83,500$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(2.25 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(88.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{66,824.1}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 47.6)}}\) (asimptote \(66,824.1\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,884$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(4.14 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(107.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,704.4}{1 + 10^{-0.050 (t - 38.8)}}\) (asimptote \(9,704.4\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $55,256$ on 2020-08-27
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $332,509$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(8.89 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.004t}\) (doubling rate \(83.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{300,885.0}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 57.5)}}\) (asimptote \(300,885.0\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $41,564$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(1.51 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(94.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{40,572.3}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 45.3)}}\) (asimptote \(40,572.3\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $289,381$ on 2020-08-27
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $263,949$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(9.83 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(112.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{242,490.3}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 44.7)}}\) (asimptote \(242,490.3\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $35,463$ on 2020-08-27
Best fit exponential: \(1.36 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.003t}\) (doubling rate \(108.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{34,628.1}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 46.7)}}\) (asimptote \(34,628.1\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $21,932$ on 2020-08-27
